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How Wednesday’s win impacted Red Sox postseason picture

The Red Sox kept themselves in the American League East race for another day and moved closer to clinching a postseason berth with their win over the Blue Jays on Wednesday.

The Red Sox win kept them in second place in the wild card, 2 games ahead of the third-place Tigers and 3 games ahead of the Astros, who lost to the A’s.

Boston could clinch a playoff berth on Thursday before they even take the field if the Astros lose to the A’s at 3:35. If not the Red Sox would get in with a win vs. Toronto at 7 p.m.

The Blue Jays’ loss dropped them into a tie with the Yankees. Both teams, who have each clinched a playoff spot, are 90-68. Toronto holds the tie-breaker.

If the Blue Jays drop into the Wild Card, the Red Sox could be playing Toronto next week in the wild card round.

Here’s where things stand:

Red Sox record: 87-71

Games remaining: 4

Fan Graphs: Computer simulation gives the Red Sox an 98.4% chance of making the playoffs.

Playoff Format

Six teams make the field. The top two division winners each get a bye in the Wild Card round. The third division winner is the No. 3 seed and plays the third wild card team. The first and second wild card teams are the No. 4 and 5 seeds and play each other. The higher seed will host all the games.

AL East Standings

WLPctGB
z-New York9068.570
z-Toronto9068.570
Boston8771.5513

Wild Card

WLPctWCGB
z-New York9068.570+5
Boston8771.551+2
Detroit8573.538
Houston8474.5320.5

Tiebreakers

The Red Sox would win tiebreaker (based on head-to-head) vs: Yankees, Astros, Guardians

The Red Sox would lose tiebreaker vs.: Blue Jays

To be determined: The Red Sox are 3-3 vs. the Mariners. The next tiebreaker, after head-to-head, is intradivisional record, which is still ongoing. The Red Sox are 0-3 vs. the Tigers with three games to go.

Magic Numbers:

1 — Any combination of Blue Jays wins and Red Sox losses makes winning the AL East impossible for the Red Sox.

2 —Any combination of Yankees wins and Red Sox losses makes home-field advantage in the best-of-three wild-card round impossible for the Red Sox.

1— Any combination of Red Sox wins and Astros losses clinches a playoff berth for Boston.

Schedule

Wednesday’s results for AL teams in playoff contention:.

Tampa Bay 6, Baltimore 2

Boston 7, Toronto 1

N.Y. Yankees 8, Chicago White Sox 1

Cleveland 5, Detroit 1

Seattle 9, Colorado 2

Athletics 6, Houston 0

Thursday games for AL teams in playoff contention:

Houston (Valdez 12-11) at Athletics (Ginn 4-6), 3:35 p.m.

Detroit (TBD) at Cleveland (Messick 3-0), 6:40 p.m.

Chicago White Sox (Martin 7-10) at N.Y. Yankees (Rodón 17-9), 7:05 p.m.

Boston (Bello 11-8) at Toronto (TBD), 7:07 p.m.

Colorado (Blalock 2-5) at Seattle (Woo 15-7), 9:40 p.m..

Red Sox Games Remaining: 4

  • Thursday at Toronto
  • Friday vs. Detroit
  • Saturday vs. Detroit
  • Sunday vs. Detroit

If the playoffs started today:

Wild Card Round

Byes: No. 1 Toronto, No. 2 Seattle

Best of 3:

No. 3 Cleveland vs. No. 6 Detroit

No. 4 N.Y. Yankees vs. No. 5 Boston

Best of three, all games at the better seed’s stadium

  • Game 1: Tuesday, Sept. 30
  • Game 2: Wednesday, Oct. 1
  • Game 3: Thursday, Oct. 2

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