In the quest to finish with a top-two pick in the 2024 NFL draft, the Patriots kept pace with Carolina (whose pick goes to the Bears) and Arizona and created some separation with the Giants after Sunday’s defeat.
Losing to the Giants was one of the most important things the Patriots could do toward chasing a high draft pick. New England was rooting for Arizona and Carolina to pull upsets on Sunday, but neither happened. They’d still like to see the Bears beat Minnesota on Monday night.
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Losses by the Saints and Bills benefitted the Patriots by lowering New England’s strength of schedule, which is a key tiebreaker, but wins by the Colts and Broncos added to it.
Here’s what the top five of the project draft order looks like. Included is each team’s strength of schedule (the aggregate winning percentage of a team’s opponents compiled by Tankathon) so far. The team who played the schedule with the lowest winning percentage would be awarded the higher pick:
- Bears – Carolina is 1-10. (SOS .513). Chicago has Carolina’s pick from a prior trade
- Cardinals — 2-10 (SOS .558)
- Patriots — 2-9 (SOS .536)
- Bears — 3-8 (SOS .468) Bears play Monday night
- Commanders — 4-8 (SOS .518).
The rest of the tie-breakers look like this:
In situations where teams finished the previous season with identical records, the determination of draft position is decided by
- Strength of schedule
- Division or conference tiebreakers :
- Head-to-head, if applicable
- Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games (minimum of four)
- Strength of victory in all games
- Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed in all games
- Best net points in all games
- Best net touchdowns in all games
- Coin toss
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