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Warren vs. Deaton 2024: Elizabeth Warren holds double-digit lead over GOP challenger in new poll

U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren holds a double-digit over Republican challenger John Deaton in a new poll, further reinforcing the difficulty the GOP hopeful faces in heavily Democratic Massachusetts.

Warren, of Cambridge, leads Deaton, a Swansea attorney, 58%-32% in the University of New Hampshire poll released Thursday.

Seven percent of respondents to the poll of 596 people said they would support another candidate, and 3% were undecided. The canvass, conducted from Sept. 12 to Sept. 16, had a margin of error of 4%.

With 45 days remaining before Election Day, the poll shows that the candidates’ supporters are pretty well bunkered.

Ninety-two percent of self-identified Democrats and 47% of independents said they backed Warren, while 91% of self-identified Republicans said they were supporting Deaton.

Warren has locked up the support of the Democrats’ key voting blocs, with self-identified progressives (99%), liberals (96%), socialists (69%), and moderates (57%) all saying they backed the incumbent lawmaker.

Deaton, meanwhile, has the firm backing of self-identified Libertarians (73%) and conservatives (71%), according to the poll.

Among all respondents, 46% said they had a favorable opinion of Warren, while 35% said they had an unfavorable opinion. Eighteen percent were neutral, according to the poll.

Deaton, who relocated from Rhode Island to the Bay State earlier this year, remains less well-known among Massachusetts residents.

A quarter of respondents (25%) have a favorable opinion of him, compared to 18% who have an unfavorable opinion.

Fifteen percent of respondents were neutral, and 42% said they didn’t know enough to form an opinion of him, according to the poll.

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