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Patriots vs. Broncos picks against the spread (Matt vs. Jim)

MassLive sports columnist Matt Vautour and sports director Jim Pignatiello have been friends for decades. This year, they are picking NFL games against each other with nothing but bragging rights on the line. Beware, they both aren’t very good at this.

Will it be “It’s a Wonderful Life” or “It’s a Lousy Football Game” on the TV this year on Christmas Eve? Forget Bailey Zappe vs. Russell Wilson, it’s Bailey Zappe vs. George Bailey.

That’s the question that will be facing New England fans on Sunday night. The Patriots have nothing tangible to play for. Even Clarence Odbody A.S.2. can’t fix this season. So people will be forced to decide between holiday traditions and Sunday traditions.

For those inclined to gamble on the game, be careful taking our advice. Sam Wainwright won’t be around to bail you out.

Hee-Haw.

New England Patriots at Denver Broncos

When/Where: Sunday, 8:15 p.m. Mile High Stadium.

Watch/ Stream: Prime Video with an Amazon Prime membership. Amazon Prime membership costs $14.99 per month or $139 per year and offers a 30-day free trial for new users.

The Line:Broncos -6.5 (from Sports Betting Dime).

Wager: NFL fans can wager online on Massachusetts sports betting with enticing promo codes from top online sportsbooks. Use the FanDuel Massachusetts promo code and the DraftKings Massachusetts promo code for massive new user bonuses.

Wear: Shop for jerseys, shirts, hats, hoodies and more at Fanatics.com

Tickets: StubHub and *VividSeats – *New customers who purchase tickets through VividSeats can get $20 off a $200+ ticket order by using the promo code MassLive20 at checkout.*

Jim Pignatiello

Record after Week 15: 20-11 — The Patriots have a night game on Christmas Eve? Let’s just hope for no overtime so we can all flip the channel in time for (SPOILER ALERT) Clarence to earn his wings.

Pick: Broncos.

Matt Vautour

Record after Week 15: 18-13 — Imagine having to travel two time zones to play a Sunday night game on Christmas Eve for a team that’s 3-11. The Patriots haven’t played well, but they’re not playing like a team that has quit. But motivation is going be hard to find Sunday night.

Pick: Broncos

More From the Associated Press:

ENGLEWOOD, Colo. (AP) — Sean Payton insists he and Russell Wilson are good despite his tongue-lashing of Denver’s quarterback during the Broncos’ 42-17 loss to the Detroit Lions.

Payton said he didn’t need to hash things out with Wilson or address the blowup with his team.

“Not at all,” the Broncos’ first-year head coach said Monday, two days after the defeat at Detroit. “First off, we haven’t had a team meeting and Russ and I have a great relationship. No, not at all.”

The Broncos’ path to the playoffs — where they haven’t been in eight years — grew much more arduous over the weekend when they lost and the Bengals, Colts, Texans and Bills all won to get to 8-6. Also, the Chiefs and Browns both improved to 9-5.

Denver left itself without any wiggle room over the final three weeks, when the Broncos will face the Patriots (3-11) and the Chargers (5-9) at home and the Raiders (6-8) on the road.

“It’s gonna take three wins,” Payton said.

Payton reiterated his reasoning for not throwing a challenge flag on two plays during the crucial goal-line sequence that led to him chewing out Wilson, and he continued defending his decision to go for a field goal on fourth-and-goal from the 5 after Michael Burton’s TD run was negated by a dubious offensive offside call.

Payton said he had a good look at Javonte Williams coming up short on third-and-goal from the 1. On the previous play, Jaleel McLaughlin might have crossed the plane on a 9-yard run but was ruled down just shy of the goal line.

“Does he get in or not? It’s still hard to tell, right?” Payton said. “Javon’s play, I know (it wasn’t a TD). I had a good enough angle on that. But we’re sitting at the half-yard line and I’m thinking we have a good goal-line plan in this game.

“And I’m one to throw a challenge flag and burn them up and use them. But I didn’t feel strong enough that we had crossed the goal line,” Payton said. “And then my history relative to them changing that call has just been average at best.”

Payton was still coy Monday about why exactly he chewed out Wilson once the offense came off the field following the offsides call on guard Quinn Meinerz.

“The anger and the frustration in that sequence comes from the fourth-down call and the touchdown and then what was later called a penalty,” Payton said. “And then all of a sudden we’re sitting at fourth-and-let’s-call-it-6 instead of fourth-and-a-half-a-yard.

“So, we’re trying to get to within two scores.”

However, the field goal made it 28-10, still a three-score deficit.

Payton’s tongue-lashing of Wilson remains puzzling because the quarterback didn’t seem at fault for any of the three non-touchdowns in that goal-line sequence.

After the game, Payton grew testy when pressed about it, and while he was calmer when asked about it Monday, he provided no more clarity.

“Nothing more to share,” Payton said. “It’s certainly, you know, in-game intensity, heat of the moment, all of those things. But, nothing more to add.”

WHAT’S WORKING

Defensive lineman D.J. Jones has stepped up big since moving to the three-technique tackle spot upon Mike Parcells’ return to the lineup, and he recorded his first sack of the season and 10th of his career Saturday night to go with two tackles for loss and a QB hit.

WHAT NEEDS WORK

Payton’s decision-making in the heat of the moment and his anger management when it comes to his quarterback.

STOCK UP

PJ Locke has locked down the starting safety job opposite Justin Simmons by playing well during Kareem Jackson’s four-game suspension. Jackson returns this week from his second suspension but said recently he still doesn’t know how to modify his playing style to avoid another banishment.

STOCK DOWN

Payton’s second-half play-calling finally paid off with Denver’s first TD drive to start the third quarter, but not challenging the goal-line calls and settling for a field goal when trailing by three touchdowns were head-scratchers.

INJURIES

Payton said he still expects TE Greg Dulcich to play at some point over the next three weeks. Hamstring issues have limited Dulcich to parts of two games this season. He returned to practice for one day last week but the Broncos subsequently shut him down with a sore foot.

KEY NUMBERS

14 — Times in 14 games Wilson has thrown at least one touchdown pass. The only other QB in franchise history to do that was Peyton Manning in 2013 and ‘14.

25 — Times in his career Wilson has both a TD throw and a TD run in a game, including three this season.

74 — Yards receiving on three catches by WR Jerry Jeudy a week after his three botched receptions cost him 97 potential yards.

NEXT STEPS

The Broncos host the Patriots on Christmas Eve. Their final three games are against backup quarterbacks and head coaches who may not be back with their teams in 2024.

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