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NFL QB carousel 2024: Predicting all 32 starting QBs for Week 1

With the 2023 NFL season officially in the books, the quarterback carousel is about to start spinning once again.

There are quite a few teams in the market for new quarterbacks in 2024 — including the Patriots — and some significant changes could be afoot. So who will be under center when Week 1 rolls around?

Our eight MassLive experts have predictions for all 32 teams:

Chris Mason, MassLive Patriots Beat Writer

Mark Daniels, MassLive Patriots Beat Writer

Karen Guregian, MassLive Columnist

Nick O’Malley, MassLive Sports Reporter

Matt Vautour, MassLive Sports Columnist

Lauren Campbell, MassLive Sports Reporter

Jim Pignatiello, MassLive Sports Director

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Buffalo Bills

Mason’s pick: Josh Allen

It’s hard to imagine the Bills with anybody else under center for the next decade or so.

Daniels’ pick: Josh Allen

Guregian’s pick: Josh Allen

O’Malley’s pick: Josh Allen

Vautour’s pick: Josh Allen

Campbell’s pick: Josh Allen

Pignatiello’s pick: Josh Allen

Miami Dolphins

Mason’s pick: Tua Tagovailoa

Despite a very predictable playoff loss in frigid Kansas City, this one isn’t changing.

Daniels’ pick: Tua Tagovailoa

Guregian’s pick: Tua Tagovailoa

O’Malley’s pick: Tua Tagovailoa

Vautour’s pick: Tua Tagovailoa

Campbell’s pick: Tua Tagovailoa

Pignatiello’s pick: Tua Tagovailoa

New England Patriots

Mason’s pick: Drake Maye

Plot twist! Jayden Daniels leapfrogs Maye in the pre-draft process and the Carolina product falls right into New England’s lap at No. 3 overall.

Daniels’ pick: Jayden Daniels

Guregian’s pick: Jacoby Brissett

O’Malley’s pick: Mac Jones

Vautour’s pick: Jayden Daniels

Campbell’s pick: Justin Fields

Pignatiello’s pick: Jayden Daniels

New York Jets

Mason’s pick: Aaron Rodgers

Take two!

Daniels’ pick: Aaron Rodgers

Guregian’s pick: Aaron Rodgers

O’Malley’s pick: Aaron Rodgers

Vautour’s pick: Aaron Rodgers

Campbell’s pick: Aaron Rodgers

Pignatiello’s pick: Aaron Rodgers

Baltimore Ravens

Mason’s pick: Lamar Jackson

The reigning MVP isn’t going anywhere.

Daniels’ pick: Lamar Jackson

Guregian’s pick: Lamar Jackson

O’Malley’s pick: Lamar Jackson

Vautour’s pick: Lamar Jackson

Campbell’s pick: Lamar Jackson

Pignatiello’s pick: Lamar Jackson

Cincinnati Bengals

Mason’s pick: Joe Burrow

Burrow will be back to challenge Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs for AFC supremacy.

Daniels’ pick: Joe Burrow

Guregian’s pick: Joe Burrow

O’Malley’s pick: Joe Burrow

Vautour’s pick: Joe Burrow

Campbell’s pick: Joe Burrow

Pignatiello’s pick: Joe Burrow

Cleveland Browns

Mason’s pick: Deshaun Watson

The pitfalls of a fully-guaranteed contract. Though Watson has been woeful in Cleveland, the Browns are stuck with him.

Daniels’ pick: Deshaun Watson

Guregian’s pick: Deshaun Watson

O’Malley’s pick: Deshaun Watson

Vautour’s pick: Deshaun Watson

Campbell’s pick: Deshaun Watson

Pignatiello’s pick: Deshaun Watson

Pittsburgh Steelers

Mason’s pick: Jimmy Garoppolo

Though things went sour in Las Vegas, Garoppolo is a significant upgrade over Kenny Pickett, who threw six touchdown passes in 12 starts last season.

Daniels’ pick: Kenny Pickett

Guregian’s pick: Russell Wilson

O’Malley’s pick: Kirk Cousins

Vautour’s pick: Kenny Pickett

Campbell’s pick: Garner Minshew

Pignatiello’s pick: Russell Wilson

Houston Texans

Mason’s pick: C.J. Stroud

DeMeco Ryans undoubtedly has his quarterback of the future.

Daniels’ pick: C.J. Stroud

Guregian’s pick: C.J. Stroud

O’Malley’s pick: C.J. Stroud

Vautour’s pick: C.J. Stroud

Campbell’s pick: C.J. Stroud

Pignatiello’s pick: C.J. Stroud

Indianapolis Colts

Mason’s pick: Anthony Richardson

Richardson showed some flashes before a shoulder injury ended his rookie season. We’ll see if he can sustain them.

Daniels’ pick: Anthony Richardson

Guregian’s pick: Anthony Richardson

O’Malley’s pick: Anthony Richardson

Vautour’s pick: Anthony Richardson

Campbell’s pick: Anthony Richardson

Pignatiello’s pick: Anthony Richardson

Jacksonville Jaguars

Mason’s pick: Trevor Lawrence

Thus far, the Jaguars quarterback hasn’t lived up to his generational billing.

Daniels’ pick: Trevor Lawrence

Guregian’s pick: Trevor Lawrence

O’Malley’s pick: Trevor Lawrence

Vautour’s pick: Trevor Lawrence

Campbell’s pick: Trevor Lawrence

Pignatiello’s pick: Trevor Lawrence

Tennessee Titans

Mason’s pick: Will Levis

Even with a new coaching staff, Levis put enough good tape out there to lock this gig down.

Daniels’ pick: Will Levis

Guregian’s pick: Will Levis

O’Malley’s pick: Will Levis

Vautour’s pick: Will Levis

Campbell’s pick: Will Levis

Pignatiello’s pick: Will Levis

Denver Broncos

Mason’s pick: Bo Nix

Sean Payton opts to start totally new after Denver’s Russell Wilson disaster.

Daniels’ pick: Bo Nix

Guregian’s pick: Bo Nix

O’Malley’s pick: Justin Fields

Vautour’s pick: Ryan Tannehill

Campbell’s pick: Jimmy Garoppolo

Pignatiello’s pick: Jameis Winston

Kansas City Chiefs

Mason’s pick: Patrick Mahomes

This one is essentially the free space in the middle of a Bingo card.

Daniels’ pick: Patrick Mahomes

Guregian’s pick: Patrick Mahomes

O’Malley’s pick: Patrick Mahomes

Vautour’s pick: Patrick Mahomes

Campbell’s pick: Patrick Mahomes

Pignatiello’s pick: Patrick Mahomes

Las Vegas Raiders

Mason’s pick: Justin Fields

To compete in the AFC West, Vegas needs a quarterback with a high ceiling, so they roll the dice and deal for Fields.

Daniels’ pick: Russell Wilson

Guregian’s pick: Justin Fields

O’Malley’s pick: Gardner Minshew

Vautour’s pick: Michael Penix

Campbell’s pick: Aidan O’Connell

Pignatiello’s pick: Jacoby Brissett

Los Angeles Chargers

Mason’s pick: Justin Herbert

It’ll be fascinating to see if Jim Harbaugh can get Herbert over the .500 hurdle.

Daniels’ pick: Justin Herbert

Guregian’s pick: Justin Herbert

O’Malley’s pick: Justin Herbert

Vautour’s pick: Justin Herbert

Campbell’s pick: Justin Herbert

Pignatiello’s pick: Justin Herbert

Dallas Cowboys

Mason’s pick: Dak Prescott

Yeah, here we go (again).

Daniels’ pick: Dak Prescott

Guregian’s pick: Dak Prescott

O’Malley’s pick: Dak Prescott

Vautour’s pick: Dak Prescott

Campbell’s pick: Dak Prescott

Pignatiello’s pick: Dak Prescott

New York Giants

Mason’s pick: Daniel Jones

Was Jones bad in 2023? Yes. Was he so bad that the Giants are willing to eat (at least) $47 million in dead cap? I don’t think so.

Daniels’ pick: Mac Jones

Guregian’s pick: Michael Penix

O’Malley’s pick: Daniel Jones

Vautour’s pick: Daniel Jones

Campbell’s pick: Russell Wilson

Pignatiello’s pick: Daniel Jones

Philadelphia Eagles

Mason’s pick: Jalen Hurts

If Jason Kelce retires, it’ll be very interesting to see whether the Tush Push remains lethal.

Daniels’ pick: Jalen Hurts

Guregian’s pick: Jalen Hurts

O’Malley’s pick: Jalen Hurts

Vautour’s pick: Jalen Hurts

Campbell’s pick: Jalen Hurts

Pignatiello’s pick: Jalen Hurts

Washington Commanders

Mason’s pick: Jayden Daniels

Daniels shoots up the board as Draft Day approaches and winds up in Washington.

Daniels’ pick: Drake Maye

Guregian’s pick: Drake Maye

O’Malley’s pick: Drake Maye

Vautour’s pick: Drake Maye

Campbell’s pick: Drake Maye

Pignatiello’s pick: Caleb Williams

Chicago Bears

Mason’s pick: Caleb Williams

For all of the smoke surrounding the No. 1 overall pick, there isn’t any real fire. Williams lands in Chicago.

Daniels’ pick: Caleb Williams

Guregian’s pick: Caleb Williams

O’Malley’s pick: Caleb Williams

Vautour’s pick: Caleb Williams

Campbell’s pick: Caleb Williams

Pignatiello’s pick: Drake Maye

Detroit Lions

Mason’s pick: Jared Goff

Goff is indeed good enough for Detroit.

Daniels’ pick: Jared Goff

Guregian’s pick: Jared Goff

O’Malley’s pick: Jared Goff

Vautour’s pick: Jared Goff

Campbell’s pick: Jared Goff

Pignatiello’s pick: Jared Goff

Green Bay Packers

Mason’s pick: Jordan Love

If Love can replicate his second half, Green Bay might have their next franchise quarterback.

Daniels’ pick: Jordan Love

Guregian’s pick: Jordan Love

O’Malley’s pick: Jordan Love

Vautour’s pick: Jordan Love

Campbell’s pick: Jordan Love

Pignatiello’s pick: Jordan Love

Minnesota Vikings

Mason’s pick: Kirk Cousins

The Vikings take a sobering look at the alternatives and opt to bring Cousins back.

Daniels’ pick: Kirk Cousins

Guregian’s pick: Kirk Cousins

O’Malley’s pick: Russell Wilson

Vautour’s pick: Kirk Cousins

Campbell’s pick: Jayden Daniels

Pignatiello’s pick: Kirk Cousins

Atlanta Falcons

Mason’s pick: Russell Wilson

With a wide open NFC South, the Falcons opt for a Band Aid at quarterback rather than a long-term solution.

Daniels’ pick: Justin Fields

Guregian’s pick: Jimmy Garoppolo

O’Malley’s pick: Ryan Tannehill

Vautour’s pick: Justin Fields

Campbell’s pick: Kirk Cousins

Pignatiello’s pick: Ryan Tannehill

Carolina Panthers

Mason’s pick: Bryce Young

Young is definitely Carolina’s starter for 2024. Whether he keeps the job in 2025 is a different question.

Daniels’ pick: Bryce Young

Guregian’s pick: Bryce Young

O’Malley’s pick: Bryce Young

Vautour’s pick: Bryce Young

Campbell’s pick: Bryce Young

Pignatiello’s pick: Bryce Young

New Orleans Saints

Mason’s pick: Derek Carr.

Carr was fine in 2023. He’ll be fine again in 2024.

Daniels’ pick: Derek Carr

Guregian’s pick: Derek Carr

O’Malley’s pick: Derek Carr

Vautour’s pick: Russell Wilson

Campbell’s pick: Derek Carr

Pignatiello’s pick: Derek Carr

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Mason’s pick: Baker Mayfield

Why would Mayfield leave the place where he’s finally found some traction? Both he and the Bucs know they have a good thing brewing.

Daniels’ pick: Baker Mayfield

Guregian’s pick: Baker Mayfield

O’Malley’s pick: Baker Mayfield

Vautour’s pick: Baker Mayfield

Campbell’s pick: Baker Mayfield

Pignatiello’s pick: Baker Mayfield

Arizona Cardinals

Mason’s pick: Kyler Murray

A huge season lies ahead for the 2019 Rookie of the Year. If not now, when?

Daniels’ pick: Kyler Murray

Guregian’s pick: Kyler Murray

O’Malley’s pick: Kyler Murray

Vautour’s pick: Kyler Murray

Campbell’s pick: Kyler Murray

Pignatiello’s pick: Kyler Murray

Los Angeles Rams

Mason’s pick: Matthew Stafford

Stafford’s gutsy showing in his return to Detroit was one of the more impressive performances of the postseason.

Daniels’ pick: Matthew Stafford

Guregian’s pick: Matthew Stafford

O’Malley’s pick: Matthew Stafford

Vautour’s pick: Matthew Stafford

Campbell’s pick: Matthew Stafford

Pignatiello’s pick: Matthew Stafford

San Francisco 49ers

Mason’s pick: Brock Purdy

Despite a Super Bowl loss, Kyle Shanahan has his guy in San Francisco.

Daniels’ pick: Brock Purdy

Guregian’s pick: Brock Purdy

O’Malley’s pick: Brock Purdy

Vautour’s pick: Brock Purdy

Campbell’s pick: Brock Purdy

Pignatiello’s pick: Brock Purdy

Seattle Seahawks

Mason’s pick: Geno Smith

Smith keeps this job in 2024 while the Seahawks draft Michael Penix with an eye to the future.

Daniels’ pick: Geno Smith

Guregian’s pick: Geno Smith

O’Malley’s pick: Geno Smith

Vautour’s pick: Geno Smith

Campbell’s pick: Geno Smith

Pignatiello’s pick: Justin Fields

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